DFS Picks Week 1 (DraftKings)

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In week 1 of the NFL season we will always find the most value throughout the field given how far in advance the player values are made.  Given that, there are some huge values in both cash and tournaments that stand out to even casual players.  Davante Adams ($4400) is practically a must own.  He will almost definitely be the highest owned WR in both cash and tournaments this week and his ownership in FanDuel GPPs (as of Thursday) was tops for WR at 27.5%.  Despite high ownership I think he is worth considering for both cash and tournament lineups, and he is on most of my cards this week. There is value all over the board as I mentioned, so I will try and limit this weeks suggestions to just a few:

Cash Game Plays

QB – Matt Ryan (7500) – High floor given the vegas O/U line of 56 and the questionable RB situation in ATL.

RB – Jonathan Stewart (5800) – The 5 readers of this site know I am big on Jonathan Stewart this season if he can stay healthy, well guess what? He doesn’t get any healthier than he is right now.  He has a high floor this week and is one of the very few offensive weapons for CAR.

WR – Jordan Matthews (7200) – Those readers also know I am big on Jordan Matthews this season, he should easily lead the Eagles in targets and is in almost every single one of my cash game lineups.  This is the cheapest price you will see Matthews all season.

TE – Martellus Bennett (4300) – I expect to see Olsen or Bennett in the majority of lineups this week, and it makes sense, but given the probability Alshon plays, I expect the more expensive Olsen to have a lot more usage than Bennett.  I still think Bennett is a good bet for a high floor in cash games this week.

Flex – Jarvis Landry (5600) – Should lead the team in targets and since DK is full PPR he has a high floor this week as well.

 

GPP Plays

QB – Andy Dalton (6100) – Love the idea of stacking him with A.J. Green this week, both should have relatively low ownership despite having some real upside against a very weak Oakland secondary.

RB – Justin Forsett (6200) – Should see the load of the offense whether on the ground or in the air.  The BAL passing game should struggle against one of the top CB tandems in the NFL in Denver.

WR – A.J. Green (7800) – The Oakland opponent rank of 5th vs. WR should deter many casual players, but this number is very misleading:  The Raiders passing defense efficiency rank from last season was actually 28th in the league.  I think A.J. is going to be under-owned which is great news for our GPP Stack with him and Dalton.

TE – Delanie Walker (3400) – I am usually a proponent of paying up for TE, and I wanted to put Greg Olsen here but I also think Delanie is a good play and should see the most targets on TEN especially in the red zone.  Plus he is cheap.

Flex – Stevie Johnson (3700) – Similar to Landry he should see the majority of his team’s targets, and at such a low price I like his upside.

 

Sneaky Plays

Benny Cunningham (3000) – Named the starter vs. SEA.  Should have low usage in GPP and could be a great return on investment if Foles checks down to him often (45 catches last season).

Richard Rodgers (2500) – DK has lowered the minimum salary for TE this year and this weak could be a great value in Rodgers.  Last year the Bears allowed 13 TD to opposing TE and Rodgers could see more targets in the GB offense with Nelson out.  He doesn’t have to do much to be a great value at 2500.

Rueben Randle (5100) – With Victor Cruz out, Randle should see similar targets to last year where he was the 30th ranked WR despite only catching 55% of targets.  After losing Scandrick for the season the Cowboys CB situation is suspect and the attention Odell Beckham receives could really open things up for Randle on Sunday night.  I like him in GPP as a sneaky play with high upside.

Category: 2015 Fantasy FootballDaily Fantasy Sports

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Article by: matt